Juggling the “what ifs” for Minnesota nonprofits
Some choices that nonprofit leaders have to make are really tough. Others are tougher. Right now, there are many nonprofits in Minnesota that need to make some of these choices in the next few weeks because of the strong possibility of a state shutdown. In the recent post When the Worst Case Scenario is Really Soon we advised all nonprofits that rely on payments from the state to start working on cash flow contingency plans. As reports are trickling in about notices and conversations with grant and contract managers at state agencies, it’s clear that these plans will need to go beyond cash flow. That’s when questions go from tough (can we pay the staff and bills?) to tougher (can we continue to provide services in our community?).
State agencies are developing their own plans to suspend operations if necessary, and they are dealing with uncertainty just like the rest of us. Many state grant and contract managers are contacting their nonprofits contractors to alert them to possible disruptions in payments or the risk that any services provided during a shutdown may not be eligible for retroactive payment. How much impact would a state shutdown have on your organization, and what kind of plans to you need? The answer (as always) is “it depends”. This very fluid situation demands multiple versions of “what if … “
- What if … a state agency pays funds to the nonprofits from a source other than the state general fund budget, including federal funds or a designated source? A worst case state shutdown could either stop or slow down payment processing of contracts and grants – you need to create a conservative cash flow plan.
- What if … the nonprofit has a long standing state contract or grant? Even with an active contract or grant, a shutdown would stop payments for the near term, and could cause a longer payment lag due to backlogs and other disruptions. Review the contract terms, or check with the grant manager, to confirm whether or not payments are certain for services provided during a shutdown. You need a plan for cash flow delays including both immediate term and some lag time.
- What if … the nonprofit has an established contract with the state that is signed annually with a start date of July 1st or later? This situation poses more risk to the nonprofit because of uncertainty whether a new budget will include a provision allowing retroactive contracts. The budget passed in July 2005, the time of the last shutdown, included such a provision (thanks to Minnesota Council of Nonprofits). You need to take this risk into consideration as you plan – is this a cash flow delay, or a possible loss of some revenue? Could your organization absorb the reductions if you provide services without retroactive payments?
- What if … the nonprofit has a new state grant or contract that begins July 1st or later, or is waiting for a final approval or announcement for state funds? These funds are at the highest risk as long as there is not a budget in place. Be very cautious about assuming that the terms will be untouched and retroactive once a budget is in place.
- What if … your nonprofit doesn’t rely on state funds, or receives small amounts from the state? Rather than feel relieved, think about the impact a shutdown may have on your clients, other organizations with whom you partner, and other community services. You may see a ripple effect in new requests for service, higher demand, or service disruptions elsewhere. Spend a little time brainstorming how your organization might be affected and how you could respond.
The what ifs could go on and on. The only way to answer any of them, and many nonprofits have more than one state contract or grant, is to systematically review the terms, check with grant managers (while they’re still available) and consider the options. In some cases, the options may fall into three categories: tough, tougher, and toughest. The Minnesota Council of Nonprofits is communicating policy information, news, and resources through email and a page on their web site. Nonprofits Assistance Fund is working with MCN to sponsor six free Government Shutdown Emergency Briefings around the state that will include background of how we got to this point, crisis communications techniques, financial planning, and open discussion with your peers. Register through the MCN web site.