On Thursday, May 7th the Obama Administration presented their 2010 federal budget.  Here are a few resources to help you understand how these budget decisions may impact your organization.

• The Chronicle of Philanthropy has a good overview, Nonprofit Groups Receive Mixed Results in Obama’s Budget.

• Minnesota Budget Bites participated in the telephone budget briefings that highlighted key aspects on the budget.  Read their takeaways here.

• Learn more about what this budget means for your state with the OMB’s state by state fact sheets.
  • Minnesota

• If you’re on Twitter, follow the conversation under the #budgetnp hashtag

2009 Giving Forecast

This week the Minnesota Council of Foundations issued an update on how Minnesota’s foundation are responding to the economic crisis.  I suggest carefully reviewing the information to see if your funders giving priorities or guidelines have changed.

For organizations outside of Minnesota, the Foundation Center is doing a great job of gathering information and analysis on the philanthropic community, including a similar giving forecast for national funders.

Foundation Updates

• Despite Decline in Assets, Foundations Are Responding to Those Affected by Recession

• Responding to Economic Turmoil in the Arts

This Week’s Harvest

• Filing the E-Postcard?  The deadline is next Friday, May 15th.

• Nonprofit News Roundup: Laws and Money from Not-For Profit Accounting

• What’s the Point of a Nonprofit Board, Anyway? from Blue Avocado

• The Chronicle of Philanthropy and the Nonprofit Finance Fund are offering a special series of live discussions on Financial Management in Tough Times.
  • Thursday, May 14: Financing options
  • Thursday May28: New ways for arts organizations to finance their operations
  • Thursday June 11: The changing role of foundations
  • Thursday June 25: Making capital campaigns work in the recession

Inspired by Nonprofit Leadership 601, I’m going to keep an eye out for innovative and interesting examples of how nonprofits are collaborating during this challenging economic time.  Taking a note from Heather, I’ll also tag those stories npoeconomy.

• Now That’s What I Call Collaboration…

Another Collaborative Framework

In his post, Social Movement Innovation Andrew Wolk asks how nonprofits can work together to maximize impact.

What are the unique roles of a direct service organization, an advocacy organization, a coalition, or the government? How do they all fit together to ensure lasting social impact?  What are the connections in education, for example, among Teach for America, Alliance for Excellent Education, the National Alliance for Public Charter Schools, and the U.S. Department of Education?  Each organization is  concerned with its own sustainability and impact, but shouldn’t they also consider their role in a collective purpose: better education?

How Liquid is Your Cash?

From Balancing the Mission Checkbook, an important reminder that Cash is Cash, Sometimes:

Beyond verifying an accurate number, though, it’s important to have a solid grasp of all the strings and restrictions that might hinder your ability to use that cash when you need it. Some restrictions are external, such as temporarily restricted grants. Other strings on cash result from internal decisions related to investment decisions, reserve policies, or overly-complex designations and conditions.

To help organizations get a better handle on how accessible their cash really is, Nonprofits Assistance Fund has created the Cash and Investment Analysis worksheet.

I would also suggest reading a related post, It’s 10 am, do you know where your cash is?

 This Week’s Harvest

Updates on the Stimulus and the Proposed Deduction Changes

• Sources of Information Regarding Stimulus Funds: National Council of Nonprofits Special Report #4

• More information on federal stimulus in Minnesota from Minnesota Budget Bites

• Information about the Proposed Changes in Charitable Deductions: National Council of Nonprofits Special Report #5

• Obama’s Charitable-Giving Plan: What It Means for Nonprofit Groups Live Discussion Transcript from the Chronicle of Philanthropy

Other Developments

• L3C – Developments & Resources from Nonprofit Law Blog

• What I Learned From the IRS, Part 1 from Not-For Profit Accounting

• Art as collateral from the Artful Manager

• The Critical Alignment of Mission, Money and Competence blog post and discussion on Social Velocity

Lucy Bernholz writes an “instant classic” by reframing the moment: It’s not a recession, it’s a restructuring.

What might now seem to be on the edge of philanthropy – or any industry – may very well come to its center. And quickly. Here are some ways restructuring might happen:

• Social enterprise begins to morph the philanthropic giving that exists to its left and the commercial enterprise that exists to its right (on a spectrum from giving to investing)

This is just the first idea, relevant to the Social Enterprise Network.  I suggest you go read the entire piece.

More Positive Thinking

• pubTalk asks, Out of Crisis, Opportunity?

• Nonprofit Leadership 601 is looking for something positive

I’m getting tired of the media focusing on negative stories of nonprofits struggling to survive, so recently I started tagging POSITIVE stories of nonprofits that are saving money, improving their operations and thriving during this current economic downturn.

A Round-up on the Stimulus and the Federal Budget Proposal

• The National Council of Nonprofits is producing Special Reports on Economic Stimulus & Recovery.  I’ll post them here, but you can subscribe to an RSS feed for the most up to date information.
  • Nonprofit Grant Opportunities
  • Stimulus Grant Tips and Thoughts
  • Whether and How States Are Accepting & Distributing Federal Stimulus Funds

• Coverage from the New York Times
  • Obama Plans Major Shifts in Spending
  • Limiting Deductions on Charity Draws Ire

• From the Washington Post
  • In $3.6 Trillion Budget, Obama Signals Broad Shift in Priorities
  • 2010 Budget Blueprint: Agency by Agency

• The Center on Budget Policies and Priorities weighs on the budget proposal

• The Chronicle on Philanthropy assesses the sector’s reaction to a plan to reduce charitable deductions

The Minnesota Angle

• Minnesota Budget Bites has posted their take, First look at Obama’s budget 

• The League of Minnesota Cities has posted information on their website and presented a webinar on how the Federal Stimulus may impact Minnesota’s cities
  • Download the presentation
• Read Budget Bites on the Minnesota budget

• The legislature’s presentation on the state budget that they deliver at town hall meetings

• Obama’s shout-out to Minneapolis was unexpected

Transparency and Accountability

• Examine the federal budget documents

• State Recovery Sites are now included on Recovery.gov to “help explain how they are spending funds allocated by the Recovery Act.”

• The Minnesota Management & Budget website has a section devoted to the Stimulus

Other News

• The National Council’s  February Policy News features a number of items of note
  • It leads with a story on the Preserve Charitable Tax Exemptions Campaign lead by MCN
  • Includes an update on L3C legislation, which has been introduced in Illinois, Mississippi, North Carolina, North Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming
    • Read Kate’s take on L3c – a Low-profit Limited Liability Corporation
    • Read an overview written by Americans for Community Development

• From the Chronicle of Philanthropy
  • Charities Merge at Almost the Same Rate as Businesses
  • Individuals Make Fewer $1-Million Gifts; Grant Makers Help Offset Decline

• Charities Now Seek Bankruptcy Protection

• New York Times:
  • For States, Stimulus Offers Temporary Relief 
  • Economic Stimulus Special Section
• Washington Post:
  • Taking Apart the $819 billion Stimulus Package
  • States Counting on Stimulus Aid to Balance Budgets

Analysis from Center for Budget and Policy Priorities

• Statement by Robert Greenstein, Executive Director, on the Conference Agreement on the Recovery Package
• Economic Recovery Act: Key Provisions (With State-by-State Estimates)

The Nonprofit Angle

• From the Chronicle of Philanthropy:
  • Congressional Compromise on Stimulus Plan Includes Money for Arts, Social Services, and Volunteerism
• The Cohen Report:
  • Reading an Early Draft of the Stimulus Bill Conference Report: Compromise Provisions (Part I)-Spending 
  • Reading an Early Draft of the Stimulus Bill Conference Report: Compromise Provisions (Part II)-Safety Net Tax Relief 
• Washington Post Op-Ed: Where Stimulus Funds Can Make a Difference

Transparency and Accountability

• Recovery.gov
• From ProPublica (Hat Tip: Utne Reader)
  • Will We Be Able to Follow the Money?
  • The Stimulus Plan: A Detailed List of Spending
  • State-by-State Breakdown of the Economic Stimulus Plan?
• ShovelWatch
• ReadTheStimulus.org (Hat tip: A little light reading…readthestimulus.org)
• From the Sunlight Foundation: We Need Online Review of Stimulus Legislation
• Show Me the Spending

The Minnesota Angle (aka Budget Update)

• Minnesota’s stimulus take: About $9.1 billion
• MPR has a special section devoted to news on the Bailout (it complements their coverage of Minnesota’s budget shortfall)
• From Minnesota Budget Bites:
  • Minnesota quick to prepare for infusion of federal funds
  • Revenue-raising options, with their price tags and impact on tax fairness
  • Legislature asks for your opinion about budget solutions at forums around the state
• pubTalk: MN Legislature: Please Fix the Governor’s Budget
• Political Animal (from Pioneer Press): Pawlenty must redo his budget
• Politics in Minnesota does a great daily roundup of stories on the budget and other related news.

Nonprofits and Credit

• Billions in Nonprofit Projects on Hold Due to Credit Crisis, Report Finds
• Charities Set $166-Billion Worth of Construction Plans on Hold
• Credit Crisis Is Leaving Charities Low on Cash

Other News

• NY Times Op-Ed: Soup-Kitchen Accounting
• From pubTalk: New opportunity for “economies of skill”? 
• Half a Million Nonprofits Could Lose Their Federal Tax Exemptions
• POLICY MEMORANDUM: A Scan of Nonprofit Policy Recommendations for the Obama Administration

The Center for Budget Policies and Priorities

The Center for Budget Policies and Priorities has a Special Series Economy Recovery Watch where they post regular updates and analysis on the stimulus package, the state budget crisis, and other economic news.

• Recovery bill’s “Fiscal Stabilization Fund” is important to protecting education and averting state and local budget cuts that would further weaken the economy

The Stabilization Fund would provide funds to partially close state and local budget shortfalls and allow states to avoid some of the most harmful actions they otherwise would have to take to meet their balanced budget requirements.  In particular, it would help avert damaging cuts in state aid to education at a time when school districts are reeling from declines in property taxes caused by sinking property values.

Additional Useful Resources

• What Nonprofits are Saying About the Bailout: A Fast Roundup from Blue Avocado

• From the Cohen Report:
  • What Can Nonprofits Look Forward to in the Economic Stimulus Bill
  • Ensuring a Timely Economic Stimulus: The Benchmark of CDBG Expenditures

• The Artful Manager asks Stimulus or pork byproduct? on the NEA’s possible inclusion in the stimulus package

• Economic Stimulus Package’s “Infrastructure Financing Tools” – a Boost to Charities

The Minnesota Angle

• Impact of federal economic recovery bill on Minnesota

• Update: The stimulus challenge from MPR

Updates

• Sources: Tentative deal reached for $780 billion stimulus package

• Democratic officials say tentative stimulus deal reached

Harvesting the Web

• From Philanthropy Potluck:
  • Nonprofit Survival: Four Steps to Take Now
  • Filling the Gaps: Expectations vs. Reality

• Blue Avocado: The Nonprofit Layoff Issue

• From Scott Russell at MinnPost: One more way nonprofits can save a little money

• Q&A with Nell Edgington – Accelerating Social Innovation

• Global Social Investment Exchange on Philanthropy 2173
  

• Avoiding the Sirens Song of Social Media Fundraising – The Great Social Media Debate?

Minnesota Budget Update

• From Smart Politics a Humphrey Institute blog: Minnesota’s 2010 Budget Deficit Among Top 10 Largest In Nation

• Pawlenty budget makes things worse a Star Tribune editorial written by Dane Smith of Growth and Justice and Nan Madden of the Minnesota Budget Project

• Finance and Commerce
  • Even the small state agencies are taking a hit
  • Pawlenty’s HCAF proposal could cost Minnesota federal stimulus dollars
• Politics in Minnesota:
  • How much would it cost to leverage the additional $2 billion in health care money in federal stimulus package? No one knows
  • The T Word: Which taxes to raise? Five ideas that are circulating at the Capitol

• State think tank leaders find little common ground on economic issues

• From the Star Tribune: Editorial: Tobacco bonds aren’t a lasting fix
  

The Nonprofit Angle

• Nonprofits lobby for fair tax hikes to avoid drastic cuts from MinnPost
  

The Local Government Angle

• The City of Minneapolis: Cuts to the City’s 2009 budget

The budget debate is just beginning, and Governor Pawlenty said his proposal will need some adjustments in the coming weeks to reflect new financial information.

One change will come when Minnesota learns the amount of its share of the federal economic stimulus bill. Another will come next month, when finance officials update the state economic forecast, which is expected to project an even larger budget deficit.

Deferring Revenue and One-Time Solutions

The Governor proposed a number of one-time solutions which will reduce our budget for the upcoming biennium, but will not address the underlying problems that impact our state.

The impact of these decisions have been addressed more eloquently by others (here, here, here, and here). Concerns about their feasibility can be found here and here.

What strikes me is that we have a problem with our business model. Our expenses outweigh our income.

To fix that problem, we must both cut spending and increase revenue. As D.J. Leary writes in his reaction to the budget, we have a structural problem:

This governor has faced two multi-billion dollar budgetary shortfalls since first being elected in 2002 and he still doesn’t appear to have grasped the reality that Minnesota has a structural defect in its overall fiscal configuration.  Minnesota simply has too narrow an income stream to provide government services at the level its people want and need.  The governor’s budget is nothing more than state government’s version of Three-card Monte.

The Governor is proposing some ways to generate revenue – such as additional fees for service – but has taken off the table one way to do this.  “Don’t increase burdens by raising taxes” was one of the Governor’s underlying principles when crafting this budget.

Taxes are a loaded topic.  Deciding to raise taxes, especially in the midst of a recession, is not easy. What concerns me is that the Governor is not willing to consider this revenue stream.

As an example, can you imagine a nonprofit being unwilling to consider an earned income venture or an individual giving campaign when trying to bridge a 14% funding gap? Or an organization that solved this through problem a large one-time grant, using restricted funds for another purpose, and deferring payments to vendors to the next fiscal year.

Unconvinced? Mr. Leary and I are not alone.

Minnesota Budget Trends Study Commission

Minnesota Budget Trends Study Commission was established at the end of the 2007 session to analyze the factors that were contributing to our state’s ongoing budget volatility.  In particular, they looked at the implications of our shifting demographics:

The State Budget Trends Study Commission is established for the purpose of completing a study of the implications of state demographic trends for future state budget conditions, including both expected revenue collections and spending for state government services and local services supported by state revenues.

On January 12, they released a report that outlined some of the challenges facing the “long-term stability of the state budget.” Their findings included, but were not limited to (emphasis mine):

• Despite continuing to rank high among many key social and economic indicators, Minnesota’s economy has underperformed recently relative to the nation.
• Demographic and economic factors will lead to lower growth of state revenues over the next 25 years.
• Minnesota has a long-term structural budget problem, with long term expenditure growth likely to outpace revenue growth.
• Minnesota’s general fund tax base has grown more volatile in the past decade.

Coverage on the report:

• Report: Minn. budget problems need long-term fix from the AP (via the Star Tribune)
• Minnesota budget trends study says changing demographics require revised state financial system from MinnPost’s Joe Kimball
• Report from Minnesota Budget Trends Study Commission from Jerry Zhao of the Humphrey Institute
• A commission with some common sense ideas from Minnesota Budget Bites

How do we Fix the Problem?

The first step to any solution is acknowledging that there is a problem.

This week has been a mix of optimism and pessimism. When I saw a blog post titled Innovation in a Recession, I had to read more. It directed me to this post, which summarizes the opportunities Tim Draper, a venture capitalist, sees in the current economic climate.  Although I don’t agree with all of his ideas, I appreciate his willingness to reframe this moment:

Don’t panic and don’t cling to the past as it will be a new game. We need to all stick together to solve our current problems. We face not only a crisis but many opportunities for new innovation.

I think that this framework segues nicely with Blue Avocado’s suggestion to declare an emergency:

An emergency doesn’t mean people should panic . . . an emergency means considering the bold and wacky ideas that are either brand new or used to be off the table.

Transformation

For some thoughtful analysis on what the future could hold for the nonprofit community, I suggest reading Paul Light’s recent article in Nonprofit Quarterly, Four Futures.  The entire piece is worth reading, but for the moment I want to focus on the forth possible future:

Transformation. This fourth scenario is hopeful but different, and it is likely only if nonprofits make it so. As has been noted in several of this issue’s articles, nonprofits could use the faltering economy and its impact on the sector as an opportunity to reinvent themselves. But this approach requires examining all possible options quickly and creatively. In state budgets, should certain services be saved over others? Are there ways to redesign organizations to achieve greater synergy between community players? Are there ways to involve communities in rethinking and reenergizing our work? A transformation-oriented approach requires deliberate and collective action by the sector’s stakeholders: communities, philanthropists, governments, intermediaries, constituents, nonprofit associations, and boards.

He goes on to list some strategies for moving towards this more hopeful future.

This Week’s Harvest

Considering the Inauguration

• America’s Greatest ‘Public Works’ by Clara Miller in Chronicle of Philanthropy

• Foundations Should Step Up as Obama Steps In by Mark Kramer and Amber Johnson for Chronicle of Philanthropy

On the Proposed Stimulus Package

• Economic-Stimulus Package to Help Nonprofit Groups Meet Social Needs from Chronicle of Philanthropy

• State fiscal aid key part of federal economic recovery package from Minnesota Budget Bites

• Economic Recovery Bill Would Add Little to Long-Run Fiscal Problem from CBPP

On the State Budget

• Minnesota Budget Bites

• MPR’s coverage of Minnesota’s budget shortfall

• Pawlenty’s deficit plan: Freeze, cut from the Star Tribune

Additional Articles and Resources

• When Good Data Goes Bad from Minnesota Budget Bites

• When the Ax-Man Cometh: What to cut out of your budget from Katya’s Marketing Blog

• A giving recession? from The Economist

• Great Depression Giving- Data sources part two in Philanthropy 2173

• Pawlenty plans to cut funds for local governments

• Minnesota Budget Bites has the rundown on the unallotments: Ready, set,cut!!

• More from Budget Bites, House asking for your ideas on how to close the budget deficit

Here’s what the Minnesota Budget Project will be saying this session: State policymakers must take a balanced approach to the state’s budget deficit and avoid policy choices, like excessive spending cuts, that make the economic downturn more painful. The deficit is simply too large to take raising revenues off the table.

• Update: Pawlenty announces short-term budget cuts

• MinnPost asks Deficit spending: Why shouldn’t Minnesota do as the feds do?

But some are asking, what good is a balanced budget if it means widespread slashing and burning to eliminate jobs and services, especially in tough economic times?

• CBPP’s article on the long-term impact: Restoring Fiscal Sustainability Will Require Major Changes to Programs, Revenues, and the Nation’s Health Care System

While the long-term problem should not deter policymakers from dealing with the short-term crisis, policymakers will need to demonstrate to the public and the lenders who finance our short- and longer-term borrowing needs that they are prepared to move the budget toward a sustainable long-run path when the economy improves.

We encourage you to share your ideas with the Minnesota House.  You can chime in about the federal budget and spending priorities on change.org and change.gov.

MCN’s Forum on the Economy

On Tuesday, MCN hosted a forum on the Nonprofit Fundraising and Economic Outlook in 2009.

It included updates from the 2008 MCN Salary and Benefit Survey, the 2008 Minnesota Nonprofit Economy Report, a new 4th Quarter survey of nonprofit fundraising, and the state’s November Economic Forecast.

More on the Forum

• Economic briefing for nonprofits offers some optimism, plus reality checks and strategies, for 2009 from Scott Russell at MinnPost

• Notes from MCN’s Economic Briefing from Philanthropy Potluck

•  Nonprofit Survival: A Special Broadcast on MPR’s Midmorning with Jon Pratt from MCN, Jim Farstad of Intermedia Arts and Melissa Brown, director of research at the Center on Philanthropy at Indiana University.

Read the Reports

• Nonprofit Current Conditions Report

• Nonprofit Economy Report

• The Economy and Charitable Giving: Special Briefing November 2008

Other Resources

• Blue Avocado brings you Twelve Blue Avocado Days of Christmas, our favorites:
  • Seven pairs of bad shoes
  • Two unbalanced budgets

• 20 Emergency Funding Sources for Nonprofits from Fieldstone Alliance

• Kristin Giantris of NFF offers advice in the New York Nonprofit Press Dec. 2008 issue.

• Join the Discussion: Service Response

Paul Schmitz, a member of the Transition’s Innovation and Civil Society Team, kicked off the Change.gov discussion on service by asking to find out more about the social causes and volunteer efforts making a difference in your communities.

So, what are the numbers?

Although the numbers are not as bad as some projections, they are ugly.  What a weird reaction to be oddly relieved that the gap is “only 5.2 billion.”

Minnesota Budget Bites has a great breakdown of the numbers:

• For the current biennium (FY 2008-09, which ends June 30, 2009) the deficit is $426 million (that’s about half the size of the deficit we already closed during the 2008 Legislative Session).
• For the next biennium (FY 2010-11) the deficit is $4.8 billion (add another $650 million for inflation).  That deficit amounts to about 13% of our budget. That’s a lot. State Economist Tom Stinson says this recession is expected to last 24 months – which would be the longest recession on record.
• For the biennium after that (FY 2012-13) the planning estimate predicts a $4.6 billion deficit (add another $1.5 billion for inflation).

By the way, in case you are confused by the $5.2 billion deficit announced in the media – that adds the FY 2008-09 and FY 2010-11 deficits together.

What people are saying

There is, and will continue to be, a lot of conversation on this issue. A great place to go for up to date information is the Budget Bites blog from the Minnesota Council of Nonprofits.

• Deficits: $426 million now, $4.8 billion soon and $4.6 billion later 

• Predictions of a $4 billion state budget deficit

Here are some additional news stories:

• Officials react to Minnesota’s dire deficit projection

• Budget deficit: Pawlenty remains oppposed to tax increases

• Minnesota’s red ink: $5.2 billion; Pawlenty seeks 10% spending cuts

• As Minnesota reels from a record deficit, leaders offer no specifics on recovery

• Op-Ed from Dane Smith (Executive Director of Growth & Justice)

• Minnesota Revenue Loss Pushes State $5.5 Billion in the Red

• Session of a thousand cuts: Thursday’s budget forecast sure to force painful decisions

• Looming Minnesota deficit offers chance to innovate

You can also visit the Minnesota Management & Budget website to see the state’s financial information, the November forecast, and get up to date on budget planning for FY 2010-2011.

What are our options?

The impact will be huge and felt across the state, in every community and every sector.  This figure represents 14% of the state budget.  Minnesota’s constitution requires a balanced budget, so tough choices will have to be made.

Where do we start?

• Budget Bites calls our attention to an article from 2001, Budget Cuts vs. Tax Increases at the State Level: Is One More Counter-Productive than the Other During a Recession? from the Center for Budget Policy and Priorities.

• A more recent article from CPBB outlines proposed budget cuts that would disproportionally impact those most vulnerable.

• Scott Russell at MinnPost weighs the relative merits of cutting rates or eligibility for health and human service organizations.

• Post your ideas and suggestions at Minnesota 2010 and elsewhere.

If you tweet or use delicious, I suggest tagging items as mnbudget. Let’s aggregate our ideas!

(My favorite tweet on this topic was from @dbrauer, who writes for MinnPost: “Seriously, we are going to need MPR’s budget challenge for this deficit thing. Stories today made clear cuts alone won’t do it.” For a bit of levity, check out the Budget Hero.)