Nonprofit Harvest

There has been (and will continue to be) a lot of discussion about how to address our state’s $4.8 billion budget gap for the upcoming biennium (2010-2011).

Our goal is to share thoughtful analysis on the budget, the proposed cuts, and what it means for everyday Minnesotans on this blog and over twitter (a great big thank you to @tomsheck, MPR’s Political Reporter for live tweeting the press conference).  We will try to bring you the highlights, with an eye on how these changes will impact Minnesota’s nonprofit organizations and those they serve.

Recommended Reading

• State of Minnesota press release
• Star Tribune
  • Pawlenty would balance budget with cuts, federal stimulus
  • Your Voices (especially Budget doesn’t solve deficit, just prolongs it)
  • Losses loom for adults without children
• Minnesota Budget Bites
• Pie charts and numbers of Minnesota’s proposed budget fix don’t tell the whole story from MinnPost
• MPR
  • Pawlenty’s budget: 2.2 percent spending cut
  • Human services cuts inevitable under Pawlenty plan
  • The governor’s budget from Bob Collins’ News Cut
  • Legislature to begin dissecting Pawlenty’s budget proposal

Governor Pawlenty’s Proposal

Yesterday the Governor released his 2010-2011 budget proposal. All of the information is available at the Minnesota State Budget website. State budgets are incredibly complex, and we are still trying to make sense of it.

However, there are some overarching principles, goals, and recommendations that we can unpack.

Budget Principles

•

• Balance the budget (this is mandated by our state Constitution)
• Fund priorities in order of importance
• Strategically position Minnesota for success in a changing world
• Enhance and expand pay for performance
• Don’t increase burdens by raising taxes

Financial Goals

• $250 million in budget reserves to address additional economic risk
• $350 million in cash flow account
• Understate potential level of federal fiscal assistance until finalized
• Improve structural budget – reduce 2012-13 budget gap by nearly half

As the slide illustrates, in order to achieve his goals, he proposes a series of cuts and cost saving measures. (Please note that these are screen shots and the presentation can be downloaded here.)

Budget Assumptions

All budgets have a set of assumptions. Minnesota Budget Bites unpacks some of the Governor’s underlying assumptions:

• He assumes Minnesota will get $920 million in federal stimulus relief (this is just a placeholder amount for now).
• He reduces the FY 2010-11 deficit by $1.3 billion by shifting K-12 education payments into the future.
• He raises close to $1 billion upfront by selling bonds secured with our tobacco lawsuit revenues.

Budget Priorities

• Enhance Minnesota’s job climate
• Improve K-12 education
• Protect state public safety programs
• Maintain military and veterans programs
• Increase government reform and accountability

Budget Cuts

The budget calls for $2,368 million in permanent spending cuts (a 2.2% spending cut). These cuts include:

• Changing eligibility standards for MinnesotaCare, which means that “84,000 people will lose health care eligibility over the next two years.” These changes include:
  • Only those at 100% of the federal poverty level qualify for Medical Assistance (a family of four living on $21,200)
  • Adults without children are no longer eligible for MinnesotaCare
  • Cuts in state reimbursement to hospital and long-term care providers
• $151 million to the University of Minnesota (you can read their response here)
• $245 million in Local Government Aid
• $125 million in County Program Aid
• 5% cut in state agencies

All of these cuts will impact nonprofits.  The changes in health care eligibility, a decrease in reimbursements, and cuts to local and county governments will affect health and human service organizations precisely at a time when need is growing and donations and foundation support is lagging.

These budget cuts, while not surprising, will force nonprofits to make hard choices.

Other Recommendations

• Borrowing $153 million from the Health Care Access Fund.  It often runs a surplus and the state has used these funds to balance the budget in the past.
• Merge the Health Care Access Fund with the General Fund. 
• Sell half of bonds from the state’s tobacco settlement
• Freeze wages
• K-12 payment shifts, totaling $1,294 million.
  • This means deferring state reimbursements to school districts to the following year, known as the “holdback.” The current holdback is 10%, under Pawlenty’s budget it would be 20%.
    

These additional recommendations are primarily one-time solutions that will balance the budget for the moment, but not address the underlying structural problem – Minnesota has a flawed business model.

State Budget Update

• Pawlenty plans to cut funds for local governments

• Minnesota Budget Bites has the rundown on the unallotments: Ready, set,cut!!

• More from Budget Bites, House asking for your ideas on how to close the budget deficit

Here’s what the Minnesota Budget Project will be saying this session: State policymakers must take a balanced approach to the state’s budget deficit and avoid policy choices, like excessive spending cuts, that make the economic downturn more painful. The deficit is simply too large to take raising revenues off the table.

• Update: Pawlenty announces short-term budget cuts

• MinnPost asks Deficit spending: Why shouldn’t Minnesota do as the feds do?

But some are asking, what good is a balanced budget if it means widespread slashing and burning to eliminate jobs and services, especially in tough economic times?

• CBPP’s article on the long-term impact: Restoring Fiscal Sustainability Will Require Major Changes to Programs, Revenues, and the Nation’s Health Care System

While the long-term problem should not deter policymakers from dealing with the short-term crisis, policymakers will need to demonstrate to the public and the lenders who finance our short- and longer-term borrowing needs that they are prepared to move the budget toward a sustainable long-run path when the economy improves.

We encourage you to share your ideas with the Minnesota House.  You can chime in about the federal budget and spending priorities on change.org and change.gov.

MCN’s Forum on the Economy

On Tuesday, MCN hosted a forum on the Nonprofit Fundraising and Economic Outlook in 2009.

It included updates from the 2008 MCN Salary and Benefit Survey, the 2008 Minnesota Nonprofit Economy Report, a new 4th Quarter survey of nonprofit fundraising, and the state’s November Economic Forecast.

More on the Forum

• Economic briefing for nonprofits offers some optimism, plus reality checks and strategies, for 2009 from Scott Russell at MinnPost

• Notes from MCN’s Economic Briefing from Philanthropy Potluck

•  Nonprofit Survival: A Special Broadcast on MPR’s Midmorning with Jon Pratt from MCN, Jim Farstad of Intermedia Arts and Melissa Brown, director of research at the Center on Philanthropy at Indiana University.

Read the Reports

• Nonprofit Current Conditions Report

• Nonprofit Economy Report

• The Economy and Charitable Giving: Special Briefing November 2008

Other Resources

• Blue Avocado brings you Twelve Blue Avocado Days of Christmas, our favorites:
  • Seven pairs of bad shoes
  • Two unbalanced budgets

• 20 Emergency Funding Sources for Nonprofits from Fieldstone Alliance

• Kristin Giantris of NFF offers advice in the New York Nonprofit Press Dec. 2008 issue.

• Join the Discussion: Service Response

Paul Schmitz, a member of the Transition’s Innovation and Civil Society Team, kicked off the Change.gov discussion on service by asking to find out more about the social causes and volunteer efforts making a difference in your communities.

Consider the Equity Ethic

Last week, Clara Miller wrote a piece in the Financial Times, More from non-profits now means less in future.  In her article, she cautions against the urge to do “more with less”:

Board members, donors and managers in the social sector will need to summon their courage and embrace an “equity ethic” to ensure that they and the organisations they support will be able to stay the course for the people who need them. To do so, they will need to tame one of their strongest impulses: to do more.

Asking how we can do more with less is a familiar refrain. The Chronicle of Philanthropy recently hosted a live discussion on this topic.

Here is Kate’s take:

I think that we need to challenge the basic question. Is it realistic to expect that nonprofits will be able to “do more with less”? I think that many nonprofits need to ask how to effectively “do less with less.” A strategic question is what programs to keep, and to do them as efficiently and effectively as possible, and what programs to exit, close, or transfer to someone else.

Nonprofits are in a difficult position.  Demands are rising, and organizations are struggling to keep pace.  In this climate, how can we have an honest conversation about capacity?

Perhaps, that is also the wrong question.  What are the consequences if we over promise and under deliver? 

Where does that leave us?

For some ideas on how to make tough choices, consider that “If you have to trim, always trim back to your mission.”  Here are some additional sugggestions from Clara Miller’s article:

• Keep an eye on reimbursement rates as the workload increases. The government pays non-profits less than a dollar for each dollar of services provided (such as foster care, health education, financial counselling), and as some non-profits increase their workload, they dig themselves deeper into a financial hole. Non-profit contractors often accept these “underwater” prices because they cannot bear to turn away those in need.
• Raise capital to fund change. If you need to grow, downsize, merge or simply become more efficient, capital is needed in addition to revenue.
• Difficult times inspire creativity. We have seen non-profits invest in technology that streamlines fund-raising, work “virtually” to reduce office space and/or travel expenses, and merge services or operations with like-minded organisations.

NFF also has a resource article, Navigating the Financial Crisis: A Nonprofit FAQ.  It includes information on what constitutes a recession, how the economy might impact the nonprofit sector, and tips for managing your organization during this time.

We knew that news would not be promising. We were warned that the state budget deficit for the next two years could be as high as 6 billion dollars.

So, what are the numbers?

Although the numbers are not as bad as some projections, they are ugly.  What a weird reaction to be oddly relieved that the gap is “only 5.2 billion.”

Minnesota Budget Bites has a great breakdown of the numbers:

• For the current biennium (FY 2008-09, which ends June 30, 2009) the deficit is $426 million (that’s about half the size of the deficit we already closed during the 2008 Legislative Session).
• For the next biennium (FY 2010-11) the deficit is $4.8 billion (add another $650 million for inflation).  That deficit amounts to about 13% of our budget. That’s a lot. State Economist Tom Stinson says this recession is expected to last 24 months – which would be the longest recession on record.
• For the biennium after that (FY 2012-13) the planning estimate predicts a $4.6 billion deficit (add another $1.5 billion for inflation).

By the way, in case you are confused by the $5.2 billion deficit announced in the media – that adds the FY 2008-09 and FY 2010-11 deficits together.

What people are saying

There is, and will continue to be, a lot of conversation on this issue. A great place to go for up to date information is the Budget Bites blog from the Minnesota Council of Nonprofits.

• Deficits: $426 million now, $4.8 billion soon and $4.6 billion later 

• Predictions of a $4 billion state budget deficit

Here are some additional news stories:

• Officials react to Minnesota’s dire deficit projection

• Budget deficit: Pawlenty remains oppposed to tax increases

• Minnesota’s red ink: $5.2 billion; Pawlenty seeks 10% spending cuts

• As Minnesota reels from a record deficit, leaders offer no specifics on recovery

• Op-Ed from Dane Smith (Executive Director of Growth & Justice)

• Minnesota Revenue Loss Pushes State $5.5 Billion in the Red

• Session of a thousand cuts: Thursday’s budget forecast sure to force painful decisions

• Looming Minnesota deficit offers chance to innovate

You can also visit the Minnesota Management & Budget website to see the state’s financial information, the November forecast, and get up to date on budget planning for FY 2010-2011.

What are our options?

The impact will be huge and felt across the state, in every community and every sector.  This figure represents 14% of the state budget.  Minnesota’s constitution requires a balanced budget, so tough choices will have to be made.

Where do we start?

• Budget Bites calls our attention to an article from 2001, Budget Cuts vs. Tax Increases at the State Level: Is One More Counter-Productive than the Other During a Recession? from the Center for Budget Policy and Priorities.

• A more recent article from CPBB outlines proposed budget cuts that would disproportionally impact those most vulnerable.

• Scott Russell at MinnPost weighs the relative merits of cutting rates or eligibility for health and human service organizations.

• Post your ideas and suggestions at Minnesota 2010 and elsewhere.

If you tweet or use delicious, I suggest tagging items as mnbudget. Let’s aggregate our ideas!

(My favorite tweet on this topic was from @dbrauer, who writes for MinnPost: “Seriously, we are going to need MPR’s budget challenge for this deficit thing. Stories today made clear cuts alone won’t do it.” For a bit of levity, check out the Budget Hero.)

• Weekend Link Roundup (November 22 – 23, 2008) from PhilanTopic

• Ease Up on the Restrictions from Philanthropy Potluck

• “Invest in Good Overhead” from Philanthropy 2173

• In This New Economic Reality, Nonprofits & Philanthropy Have to Confront the Fierce Urgency of Now from Perspectives from the Pipeline

• An open letter to MOCA’s board of trustees in the LA Times

• Budget fix in health and human services: Cut rates or cut eligibility from Scott Russell at MinnPost

• What stories do you tell about yourself? from Sasha Dichter
  • While you’re there, check out A NonProfit CEO Manifesto (blame it on Seth Godin)